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sports_score Picks of the Day Historical

Fouls & shots
under the microscope

Bookmaker lines vs team metrics — algorithmic signals for the selected date, served directly from the Cockpit model buffer (min. 65% confidence).

11 Settled Picks
6 Won
5 Lost
54.5% Hit Rate
-22.9% Overall Yield
workspace_premium Day summary (Best): 1 Won 0 Lost
Hit Rate: 100%
Yield: +27.0%
1
emoji_eventsJupiler Pro League schedule04.11, 20:30 S

Kortrijk – Mechelen

WON @1.27 S
flare
Pick Shots in the match under 29.5 PLAY WR ( 79% / 92% / 61% ) check_circle WON
90%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.27 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 25.0 (line 29.5 under) — WON (odds @1.27)
  • monitoring Model probability 90% for under 29.5 (match total).
  • hub 2 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Jupiler Pro League (Shots): 61.7% WR (509/825 matches)
  • insights Kortrijk: avg 27.2 for, concedes 27.2 per match; at home: 27.5 for, 27.5 conceded.
  • insights Mechelen: avg 25.4 for, concedes 25.4 per match; away: 22.8 for, 22.8 conceded.
  • functions Projected 50.3 shots total
  • emoji_events Matches with <29.5 shots total: Kortrijk 6/9, Mechelen 7/9
front_hand Day summary (Fouls): 1 Won 3 Lost
Hit Rate: 25%
Yield: -51.3%
1
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 20:00 S

Bristol City – Wolverhampton Wanderers

LOST @1.70 S
front_hand
Pick Fouls Bristol City over 10.5 PLAY WR ( 67% / 56% / 43% ) cancel LOST
80%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.70 BEST
  • highlight_off Actual match result: 8.0 (line 10.5 over) — LOST (odds @1.70)
  • monitoring Model probability 80% for over 10.5 (bristol city).
  • hub 4 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Fouls): 43.3% WR (104/240 matches)
  • insights Bristol City: avg 11.5 for, concedes 10.5 per match; at home: 11.8 for, 11.5 conceded.
  • insights Wolverhampton Wanderers: avg 12.5 for, concedes 12.0 per match; away: 11.2 for, 12.2 conceded.
  • functions Projected 12.0 fouls (full match: 23.3)
  • emoji_events Bristol City had >10.5 in 9/13 season matches; opponents (Wolverhampton Wanderers) allowed >10.5 in 10/13.
2
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Cardiff City – West Ham United

WON @1.95 S
front_hand
Pick Fouls Cardiff City under 9.5 LEAN WR ( 66% / 58% / 64% ) check_circle WON
70%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.95 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 9.0 (line 9.5 under) — WON (odds @1.95)
  • monitoring Model probability 70% for under 9.5 (cardiff city).
  • hub 1 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Fouls): 64.8% WR (68/105 matches)
  • insights Cardiff City: avg 9.9 for, concedes 13.8 per match; at home: 9.7 for, 14.8 conceded.
  • insights West Ham United: avg 10.8 for, concedes 10.4 per match; away: 11.3 for, 10.3 conceded.
  • functions Projected 10.0 fouls (full match: 23.1)
  • emoji_events Cardiff City had <9.5 in 4/13 season matches; opponents (West Ham United) allowed <9.5 in 8/13.
3
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Cardiff City – West Ham United

LOST @1.95 S
front_hand
Pick Fouls West Ham United over 11.5 PLAY WR ( 57% / 51% / 43% ) cancel LOST
70%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.95 BEST
  • highlight_off Actual match result: 11.0 (line 11.5 over) — LOST (odds @1.95)
  • monitoring Model probability 70% for over 11.5 (west ham united).
  • hub 1 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Fouls): 43.3% WR (104/240 matches)
  • insights Cardiff City: avg 9.9 for, concedes 13.8 per match; at home: 9.7 for, 14.8 conceded.
  • insights West Ham United: avg 10.8 for, concedes 10.4 per match; away: 11.3 for, 10.3 conceded.
  • functions Projected 13.1 fouls (full match: 23.1)
  • emoji_events West Ham United had >11.5 in 5/13 season matches; opponents (Cardiff City) allowed >11.5 in 9/13.
4
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Wrexham – Middlesbrough

LOST @1.76 S
front_hand
Pick Fouls Middlesbrough over 9.5 LEAN WR ( 57% / 60% / 43% ) cancel LOST
67%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.76 BEST
  • highlight_off Actual match result: 6.0 (line 9.5 over) — LOST (odds @1.76)
  • monitoring Model probability 67% for over 9.5 (middlesbrough).
  • hub 1 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Fouls): 43.3% WR (104/240 matches)
  • insights Wrexham: avg 11.0 for, concedes 10.8 per match; at home: 10.5 for, 12.0 conceded.
  • insights Middlesbrough: avg 9.8 for, concedes 9.8 per match; away: 9.5 for, 8.8 conceded.
  • functions Projected 10.8 fouls (full match: 20.4)
  • emoji_events Middlesbrough had >9.5 in 7/13 season matches; opponents (Wrexham) allowed >9.5 in 10/13.
flare Day summary (Shots): 5 Won 2 Lost
Hit Rate: 71.4%
Yield: -6.7%
1
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 20:00 S

Bristol City – Wolverhampton Wanderers

LOST @1.31 S
flare
Pick Shots in the match over 22.5 PLAY WR ( 72% / 60% / 62% ) cancel LOST
100%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.31 BEST
  • highlight_off Actual match result: 22.0 (line 22.5 over) — LOST (odds @1.31)
  • monitoring Model probability 100% for over 22.5 (match total).
  • hub 4 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Shots): 62.6% WR (1188/1898 matches)
  • insights Bristol City: avg 26.2 for, concedes 26.2 per match; at home: 25.8 for, 25.8 conceded.
  • insights Wolverhampton Wanderers: avg 27.0 for, concedes 27.0 per match; away: 27.8 for, 27.8 conceded.
  • functions Projected 53.7 shots total
  • emoji_events Matches with >22.5 shots total: Bristol City 12/13, Wolverhampton Wanderers 12/13
2
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Cardiff City – West Ham United

WON @1.38 S
flare
Pick Shots West Ham United under 18.5 PLAY WR ( 63% / — / 53% ) check_circle WON
92%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.38 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 18.0 (line 18.5 under) — WON (odds @1.38)
  • monitoring Model probability 92% for under 18.5 (west ham united).
  • hub 4 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Shots): 53.4% WR (1328/2487 matches)
  • insights Cardiff City: avg 16.6 for, concedes 14.2 per match; at home: 21.3 for, 10.3 conceded.
  • insights West Ham United: avg 17.0 for, concedes 11.6 per match; away: 15.2 for, 13.5 conceded.
  • functions Projected 12.8 shots (full match: 30.2)
  • emoji_events West Ham United had <18.5 in 8/13 season matches; opponents (Cardiff City) allowed <18.5 in 11/13.
3
emoji_eventsJupiler Pro League schedule04.11, 20:30 S

Kortrijk – Mechelen

WON @1.27 S
flare
Pick Shots in the match under 29.5 PLAY WR ( 79% / 92% / 61% ) check_circle WON
90%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.27 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 25.0 (line 29.5 under) — WON (odds @1.27)
  • monitoring Model probability 90% for under 29.5 (match total).
  • hub 2 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Jupiler Pro League (Shots): 61.7% WR (509/825 matches)
  • insights Kortrijk: avg 27.2 for, concedes 27.2 per match; at home: 27.5 for, 27.5 conceded.
  • insights Mechelen: avg 25.4 for, concedes 25.4 per match; away: 22.8 for, 22.8 conceded.
  • functions Projected 50.3 shots total
  • emoji_events Matches with <29.5 shots total: Kortrijk 6/9, Mechelen 7/9
4
emoji_eventsJupiler Pro League schedule04.11, 20:30 S

Kortrijk – Mechelen

WON @1.37 S
flare
Pick Shots Kortrijk under 15.5 PLAY WR ( 62% / 63% / 61% ) check_circle WON
88%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.37 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 11.0 (line 15.5 under) — WON (odds @1.37)
  • monitoring Model probability 88% for under 15.5 (kortrijk).
  • hub 4 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Jupiler Pro League (Shots): 61.7% WR (509/825 matches)
  • insights Kortrijk: avg 10.8 for, concedes 16.4 per match; at home: 14.3 for, 13.3 conceded.
  • insights Mechelen: avg 11.1 for, concedes 14.3 per match; away: 10.3 for, 12.5 conceded.
  • functions Projected 13.4 shots (full match: 25.1)
  • emoji_events Kortrijk had <15.5 in 8/9 season matches; opponents (Mechelen) allowed <15.5 in 6/9.
5
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Cardiff City – West Ham United

WON @1.26 S
flare
Pick Shots Cardiff City under 17.5 PLAY WR ( 62% / 61% / 53% ) check_circle WON
80%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.26 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 7.0 (line 17.5 under) — WON (odds @1.26)
  • monitoring Model probability 80% for under 17.5 (cardiff city).
  • hub 2 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Shots): 53.4% WR (1328/2487 matches)
  • insights Cardiff City: avg 16.6 for, concedes 14.2 per match; at home: 21.3 for, 10.3 conceded.
  • insights West Ham United: avg 17.0 for, concedes 11.6 per match; away: 15.2 for, 13.5 conceded.
  • functions Projected 17.4 shots (full match: 30.2)
  • emoji_events Cardiff City had <17.5 in 9/13 season matches; opponents (West Ham United) allowed <17.5 in 12/13.
6
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Wrexham – Middlesbrough

LOST @1.25 S
flare
Pick Shots Wrexham under 14.5 PLAY WR ( 62% / 72% / 53% ) cancel LOST
80%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.25 BEST
  • highlight_off Actual match result: 15.0 (line 14.5 under) — LOST (odds @1.25)
  • monitoring Model probability 80% for under 14.5 (wrexham).
  • hub 3 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Shots): 53.4% WR (1328/2487 matches)
  • insights Wrexham: avg 12.2 for, concedes 11.9 per match; at home: 11.7 for, 13.0 conceded.
  • insights Middlesbrough: avg 19.8 for, concedes 10.8 per match; away: 19.0 for, 11.3 conceded.
  • functions Projected 11.5 shots (full match: 27.5)
  • emoji_events Wrexham had <14.5 in 9/13 season matches; opponents (Middlesbrough) allowed <14.5 in 11/13.
7
emoji_eventsChampionship schedule04.11, 19:45 S

Cardiff City – West Ham United

WON @1.25 S
flare
Pick Shots in the match under 34.5 PLAY WR ( 65% / 69% / 53% ) check_circle WON
75%Model prob.
storefront Available odds:
S @1.25 BEST
  • verified Actual match result: 25.0 (line 34.5 under) — WON (odds @1.25)
  • monitoring Model probability 75% for under 34.5 (match total).
  • hub 4 of 4 algorithms (STD, MIX, MIX.E, V6) flag this pick.
  • query_stats Algorithm win rate in Championship (Shots): 53.4% WR (1328/2487 matches)
  • insights Cardiff City: avg 30.8 for, concedes 30.8 per match; at home: 31.7 for, 31.7 conceded.
  • insights West Ham United: avg 28.6 for, concedes 28.6 per match; away: 28.7 for, 28.7 conceded.
  • functions Projected 60.3 shots total
  • emoji_events Matches with <34.5 shots total: Cardiff City 10/13, West Ham United 11/13
hourglass_empty

No picks found for shots on target on Wednesday, 04.11.2026 matching the criteria.

Match Details

Pick Title

SUPERBET ODDS: 1.58
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